Elections etc
Monday, 14 July 2014
New Elections etc site: ElectionsEtc.com
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A former student of mine, Jonathan Jones ( @JJ_159 ) has kindly set up a new combined general election forecast page and blog at ElectionsEt...
3 comments:
Friday, 4 July 2014
Why is the 2015 general election forecast trending?
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A few people have asked me this question about my forecast at http://users.ox.ac.uk/~nuff0084/ge15forecast/ . The trends are definitely ther...
1 comment:
Monday, 26 May 2014
What do the 2014 European and local election results mean for the opinion polls and next year’s general election?
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Labour emerged narrowly ahead of the Conservatives in both the local and European Parliament elections. I discussed the implications of the...
Friday, 23 May 2014
Unraveling the 2014 local election changes in the share of the vote: who suffered most from UKIP?
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A naïve glance at the overall changes in the share of the vote since 2010 in the table below suggests that UKIP’s big gains came as the exp...
2 comments:
What do the 2014 local election results mean for next year’s general election?
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The Labour lead of 2 percentage points in the BBC’s projected national share of the local election vote (PNS) is too narrow a lead for Labo...
1 comment:
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